Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -520 OMA +390 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -10.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -7.6 (+7.4) | 145.5 (+7.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -6.9 (+8.1) | 145.6 (+7.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -7.0 (+8.0) | 146.0 (+7.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -7.6 (+7.4) | 147.0 (+6.0) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 SDST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | SDST 98 – 85 OMA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OMA 87 – 80 SDST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SDST 85 – 77 OMA |
| Jan 19, 2024 | SDST 90 – 87 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#157) | -5.8 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#227) | -0.64 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.44 (#197) | -0.93 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#207) | 0.470 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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