All your compliments and your cutting remarks are captured here in my quotation marks. "Everyday I Write the Book" - Elvis Costello
Southeastern Conference · Stegeman Coliseum · February 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SC -3.0 Away covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money UGA +130 / SC -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total UGA win
Actual SC +12 148 Lost
Massey SC -2.8 (-9.2) — —
Massey Totals — 145.6 (+2.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 21% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 21% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SC -2.9 (-9.1) 146.9 (+1.1) 35% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SC -2.5 (-9.5) 146.7 (+1.3) 36% ✓
Baseline ML SC -2.9 (-9.1) 148.4 (-0.4) 40% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SC -3.0 (-9.0) 148.3 (-0.3) 36% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 UGA 87 – 68 SC
Jan 10, 2026 UGA 75 – 70 SC
Mar 4, 2025 UGA 73 – 64 SC
Jan 29, 2025 UGA 71 – 60 SC
Feb 3, 2024 SC 72 – 62 UGA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UGA SC
Overall 6-26 18-13
Conference 1-17 9-9
Home 6-13 12-4
Away 0-10 4-7
Neutral 0-3 2-2
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L12 L2
Avg Pts For 69.8 69.7
Avg Pts Against 78.5 70.9
Massey -1.0 (#185) 4.9 (#106)
Bradley-Terry -0.64 (#229) 1.18 (#91)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#221) 1.19 (#102)
RPI 0.462 (#238) 0.548 (#92)
Shooting & Four Factors UGA SC
FG% 44.0% 41.5%
3PT% 31.4% 31.4%
REB / G 34.5 37.8
OREB / G 9.2 13.2
AST / TO 0.97 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.8% 46.8%
TOV% 20.4% 21.1%
ORB% 27.2% 34.4%
FT Rate 29.3% 19.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 47.3%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 21.8%
DRB% 71.2% 67.8%
Opp FT Rate 17.2% 29.3%

Game Analysis

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