Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -180 LAF +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +4 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -5.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -2.0 (-6.0) | 139.9 (+2.1) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -3.9 (-7.9) | 138.3 (+3.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -3.9 (-7.9) | 138.2 (+3.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -3.2 (-7.2) | 139.7 (+2.3) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-9 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#305) | -10.4 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#306) | -1.89 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#320) | -2.33 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.414 (#317) | 0.426 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 20.5% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 13.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.7% |
Game Analysis
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