Betting Lines
| Spread | LAF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LAF -140 LEH +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAF +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | LAF -2.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAF -1.8 (+6.2) | 131.6 (+16.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAF -1.6 (+6.4) | 134.5 (+13.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAF -1.3 (+6.7) | 133.1 (+14.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -1.7 (+6.3) | 132.1 (+15.9) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.8 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#293) | -7.3 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#318) | -1.49 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#304) | -1.92 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#322) | 0.443 (#288) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.1% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.