Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | LAF +152 LEH -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +8 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | LAF -0.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -0.0 (-8.0) | 140.1 (-6.1) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.1 (-6.9) | 141.6 (-7.6) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -0.5 (-7.5) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LAF -0.5 (-8.5) | 141.3 (-7.3) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Jan 25, 2026 | LEH 64 – 59 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.6 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -7.9 (#302) | -4.9 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#311) | -1.89 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#313) | -1.92 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#271) | 0.449 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAF | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.