Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LEH -135 LAF +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +5 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -4.9 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (-27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -4.1 (+0.9) | 142.7 (-19.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -4.0 (+1.0) | 144.9 (-21.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -4.1 (+0.9) | 145.1 (-22.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -4.7 (+0.3) | 143.9 (-20.9) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | LEH 78 – 69 LAF |
| Feb 22, 2025 | LAF 78 – 70 LEH |
| Jan 26, 2025 | LEH 86 – 47 LAF |
| Mar 8, 2024 | LEH 76 – 61 LAF |
| Feb 24, 2024 | LEH 71 – 63 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#297) | -10.3 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#317) | -2.52 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#335) | -2.98 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#304) | 0.376 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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