Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -650 IDST +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -14.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -12.4 (-9.4) | 140.8 (+6.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -10.6 (-7.6) | 142.3 (+4.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -10.3 (-7.3) | 143.1 (+3.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -9.6 (-6.6) | 140.8 (+6.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 5-15 |
| Home | 9-3 | 5-8 |
| Away | 8-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -2.5 (#223) | -14.1 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#214) | -2.53 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#217) | -2.48 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.478 (#205) | 0.370 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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