Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | IDST -280 EWU +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | IDST -7.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.1 (+6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -4.8 (+3.2) | 138.0 (+10.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -4.3 (+3.7) | 137.3 (+10.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -4.3 (+3.7) | 138.5 (+9.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -4.5 (+3.5) | 139.2 (+8.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EWU 79 – 67 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#202) | -5.9 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#273) | -1.68 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#257) | -1.95 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#294) | 0.406 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 40.5% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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