Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | IDST +240 EWU -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +12 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | EWU -5.4 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -5.3 (-6.7) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -5.5 (-6.5) | 144.3 (+1.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -5.5 (-6.5) | 145.7 (+0.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -5.3 (-6.7) | 143.3 (+2.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-13 | 10-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#280) | 3.0 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#299) | 0.82 (#110) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#289) | 0.77 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#324) | 0.548 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 56.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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