Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -450 IDST +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -11.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -9.0 (-3.0) | 146.5 (+23.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -9.8 (-3.8) | 144.1 (+25.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -9.5 (-3.5) | 145.4 (+24.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -9.3 (-3.3) | 147.7 (+22.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EWU 79 – 67 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 10-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.5 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#128) | -4.8 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#100) | -0.88 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#116) | -1.00 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#91) | 0.443 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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