Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -166 IDST +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +13 | 163 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -2.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -1.5 (+11.5) | 147.1 (+15.9) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -2.0 (+11.0) | 145.1 (+17.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -2.4 (+10.6) | 146.3 (+16.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -2.3 (+10.7) | 148.2 (+14.8) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IDST 78 – 54 EWU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EWU 79 – 67 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#221) | -2.6 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#265) | -1.07 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#255) | -1.12 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#294) | 0.447 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 28.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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