Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | EWU +155 IDST -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +24 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | IDST -0.8 (-23.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -1.3 (-22.7) | 140.3 (-8.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -0.3 (-23.7) | 142.8 (-10.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -0.4 (-23.6) | 144.4 (-12.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -0.8 (-23.2) | 144.3 (-12.3) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | EWU 88 – 75 IDST |
| Jan 17, 2026 | EWU 84 – 66 IDST |
| Jan 31, 2025 | IDST 78 – 70 EWU |
| Feb 16, 2024 | EWU 88 – 82 IDST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EWU 79 – 67 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#263) | -2.1 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#301) | -0.78 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#284) | -0.80 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#318) | 0.454 (#272) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 37.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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