Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -210 UTC +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +6 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -3.2 (-9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -2.9 (-8.9) | 138.8 (-16.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -3.0 (-9.0) | 142.3 (-20.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -3.1 (-9.1) | 142.6 (-20.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -2.9 (-8.9) | 140.6 (-18.6) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#70) | 7.6 (#76) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#100) | 1.83 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#99) | 1.88 (#69) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#70) | 0.609 (#25) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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