Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -135 FUR +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +3 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -1.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+8.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -2.4 (-5.4) | 146.4 (+10.6) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -3.3 (-6.3) | 146.5 (+10.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -2.7 (-5.7) | 147.0 (+10.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -2.1 (-5.1) | 145.5 (+11.5) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | FUR 82 – 65 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | W5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#121) | 1.2 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#92) | 0.80 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.11 (#97) | 0.54 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#65) | 0.556 (#77) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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