Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -340 UTC +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -11.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -10.2 (-5.2) | 144.2 (+0.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -10.0 (-5.0) | 140.6 (+4.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -9.9 (-4.9) | 142.4 (+2.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -10.8 (-5.8) | 142.3 (+2.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | FUR 82 – 65 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#188) | -9.2 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#178) | -1.55 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#182) | -1.95 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#153) | 0.433 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 14.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 20.1% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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