Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | UTC -225 FUR +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +13 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -4.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -4.2 (+8.8) | 147.2 (+9.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -4.1 (+8.9) | 149.0 (+8.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -4.6 (+8.4) | 146.1 (+10.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -4.1 (+8.9) | 147.8 (+9.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | FUR 82 – 65 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 14-3 | 13-3 |
| Away | 12-5 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 71.1 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#139) | 0.2 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#133) | 0.79 (#106) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#139) | 0.53 (#134) |
| RPI | 0.529 (#127) | 0.550 (#84) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.5% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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