Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UTC +124 FUR -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +11 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -4.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -4.1 (-6.9) | 141.1 (+3.9) | 33% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -4.2 (-6.8) | 142.6 (+2.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -4.3 (-6.7) | 141.1 (+3.9) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -4.4 (-6.6) | 142.2 (+2.8) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
| Feb 18, 2024 | FUR 82 – 65 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#301) | -1.0 (#183) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#311) | 0.36 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.43 (#308) | 0.11 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#338) | 0.539 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 28.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 21.0% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.2% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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