But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Furman Paladins
71 75
FINAL Conference
Chattanooga Mocs
Southern Conference · Bon Secours Wellness Arena · January 18, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread FUR -4.5 Away covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money FUR -210 / UTC +175
Model Predictions
Spread Total FUR win
Actual UTC +4 146 Lost
Massey FUR -6.6 (-10.6)
Massey Totals 148.7 (-2.7)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 90%
Efficiency Plus ML FUR -6.0 (-10.0) 146.9 (-0.9) 73%
Baseline Tuned ML FUR -4.9 (-8.9) 146.8 (-0.8) 73%
Baseline ML FUR -5.6 (-9.6) 148.0 (-2.0) 72%
Baseline Plus ML FUR -5.7 (-9.7) 146.9 (-0.9) 73%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 1, 2026 FUR 7570 UTC
Jan 7, 2026 FUR 7867 UTC
Mar 9, 2025 FUR 8077 UTC
Feb 8, 2025 UTC 8572 FUR
Feb 18, 2024 FUR 8265 UTC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FUR UTC
Overall 25-10 29-9
Conference 11-7 15-3
Home 13-3 14-3
Away 9-6 12-5
Neutral 3-1 3-1
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 W5
Avg Pts For 74.2 79.4
Avg Pts Against 71.1 74.1
Massey 1.9 (#131) -1.0 (#169)
Bradley-Terry 1.60 (#62) -0.16 (#188)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#91) -0.18 (#186)
RPI 0.566 (#63) 0.484 (#203)
Shooting & Four Factors FUR UTC
FG% 43.0% 47.4%
3PT% 32.4% 36.3%
REB / G 34.4 31.5
OREB / G 10.4 7.7
AST / TO 1.32 1.51
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 56.3%
TOV% 17.4% 16.4%
ORB% 30.2% 24.8%
FT Rate 22.4% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.5% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 15.7%
DRB% 67.2% 70.7%
Opp FT Rate 20.4% 22.5%

Game Analysis

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