Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -154 UTC +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +17 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -1.8 (+15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -0.9 (+16.1) | 154.8 (-7.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -2.6 (+14.4) | 156.8 (-9.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -1.3 (+15.7) | 153.3 (-6.3) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -0.3 (+16.7) | 154.7 (-7.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | FUR 75 – 70 UTC |
| Jan 7, 2026 | FUR 78 – 67 UTC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FUR 80 – 77 UTC |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UTC 85 – 72 FUR |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTC 75 – 71 FUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 73.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#152) | 2.4 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#156) | 0.88 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#161) | 0.94 (#113) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#152) | 0.525 (#130) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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