Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -22.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | CLE -4500 IUIN +1500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +38 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -23.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -17.5 (+20.5) | 128.9 (-0.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -18.8 (+19.2) | 133.7 (-5.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -20.0 (+18.0) | 132.0 (-4.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -18.6 (+19.4) | 130.7 (-2.7) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | CLE 101 – 93 IUIN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | IUIN 82 – 74 CLE |
| Dec 30, 2025 | CLE 99 – 86 IUIN |
| Jan 19, 2025 | CLE 73 – 62 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2025 | CLE 67 – 61 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 15-6 | 1-16 |
| Home | 15-3 | 2-11 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 51.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 68.4 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#190) | -21.8 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#166) | -5.21 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#169) | -6.63 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#158) | 0.311 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 37.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 42.4% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 26.4% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 16.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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