Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
| Money | AAMU -475 MVSU +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +2 | 186 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -11.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+49.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -8.6 (-6.6) | 138.3 (+47.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -9.3 (-7.3) | 135.5 (+50.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -9.1 (-7.1) | 139.0 (+47.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -8.2 (-6.2) | 141.4 (+44.6) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 MVSU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AAMU 71 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AAMU 82 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AAMU 79 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AAMU 80 – 57 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 2-26 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 6-3 | 0-11 |
| Away | 4-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.4 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 83.0 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#336) | -20.9 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#340) | -4.31 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.90 (#338) | -5.54 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.382 (#346) | 0.335 (#357) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 41.0% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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