Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU -1200 MVSU +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +7 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -18.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -14.2 (-7.2) | 135.6 (+1.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -14.2 (-7.2) | 137.1 (-0.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -15.4 (-8.4) | 137.4 (-0.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -15.2 (-8.2) | 135.7 (+1.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 6, 2026 | AAMU 71 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AAMU 82 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AAMU 79 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AAMU 80 – 57 MVSU |
| Jan 9, 2024 | AAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 3-30 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-5 | 2-9 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-18 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#315) | -26.3 (#365) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#269) | -5.13 (#365) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#275) | -6.71 (#365) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#298) | 0.318 (#364) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 28.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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