Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MVSU +455 AAMU -625 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +20 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -10.7 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.3 (-21.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -9.4 (-10.6) | 137.0 (-15.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -9.7 (-10.3) | 135.9 (-13.9) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -10.3 (-9.7) | 137.3 (-15.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -10.1 (-9.9) | 139.4 (-17.4) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 MVSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | AAMU 82 – 70 MVSU |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AAMU 79 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AAMU 80 – 57 MVSU |
| Jan 9, 2024 | AAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-30 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 2-9 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-18 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -24.1 (#364) | -9.6 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.44 (#364) | -0.77 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -6.63 (#365) | -1.04 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.373 (#353) | 0.444 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 29.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 23.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.5% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 61.4% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.1% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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