Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | MVSU +750 AAMU -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MVSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +12 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | AAMU -10.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -8.9 (-3.1) | 139.0 (+13.0) | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -8.8 (-3.2) | 140.8 (+11.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -8.0 (-4.0) | 140.6 (+11.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -7.9 (-4.1) | 138.5 (+13.5) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | AAMU 72 – 65 MVSU |
| Jan 6, 2026 | AAMU 71 – 51 MVSU |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AAMU 79 – 67 MVSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | AAMU 80 – 57 MVSU |
| Jan 9, 2024 | AAMU 78 – 70 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MVSU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-28 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 6-12 |
| Home | 2-9 | 8-9 |
| Away | 1-19 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L9 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 52.4 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -31.1 (#364) | -17.7 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.33 (#363) | -3.42 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.69 (#363) | -4.07 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.365 (#357) | 0.337 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MVSU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.7% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 27.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.44 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 40.6% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 25.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.3% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 60.3% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 33.3% |
Game Analysis
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