Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | COR -125 BRWN +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRWN +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -2.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -2.7 (-3.7) | 146.1 (+14.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -3.2 (-4.2) | 146.6 (+14.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -3.0 (-4.0) | 145.8 (+15.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -3.0 (-4.0) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | COR 86 – 80 BRWN |
| Jan 19, 2026 | COR 89 – 67 BRWN |
| Feb 22, 2025 | COR 85 – 81 BRWN |
| Jan 20, 2025 | BRWN 83 – 82 COR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BRWN 78 – 74 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-11 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 10-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-8 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#194) | -1.2 (#191) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#156) | -0.68 (#237) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#173) | -0.71 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#175) | 0.479 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | BRWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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