Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | BTLR +145 MARQ -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +6 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -6.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.1 (+31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -4.6 (+10.6) | 136.6 (+27.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -5.1 (+11.1) | 133.3 (+30.7) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -5.4 (+11.4) | 134.7 (+29.3) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -4.9 (+10.9) | 134.5 (+29.5) | 30% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | MARQ 70 – 55 BTLR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | BTLR 87 – 76 MARQ |
| Jan 29, 2025 | MARQ 78 – 69 BTLR |
| Dec 19, 2024 | MARQ 80 – 70 BTLR |
| Feb 13, 2024 | MARQ 78 – 72 BTLR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 11-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#138) | 11.6 (#30) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#104) | 2.77 (#19) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#94) | 3.17 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#162) | 0.599 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | MARQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.0% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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