Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Pete Mathews Coliseum · February 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread JXST -17.5 Away covered
O/U 150.0 Under
Money JXST -2800 / CARK +1200
Model Predictions
Spread Total JXST win
Actual CARK +10 134 Lost
Massey JXST -17.7 (-27.7) — —
Massey Totals — 153.5 (-19.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✗
Baseline Plus ML JXST -14.4 (-24.4) 150.3 (-16.3) 86% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ JXST -14.8 (-24.8) 152.3 (-18.3) 86% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML JXST -14.3 (-24.3) 150.8 (-16.8) 88% ✗
Baseline ML JXST -14.3 (-24.3) 152.7 (-18.7) 86% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 23, 2023 JXST 101 – 71 CARK
Jan 19, 2022 JXST 86 – 81 CARK

Game Analysis

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