Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | CARK +450 JXST -650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +5 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -13.6 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -9.7 (+4.7) | 146.9 (+20.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -10.6 (+5.6) | 150.0 (+17.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -10.3 (+5.3) | 148.9 (+18.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -9.3 (+4.3) | 149.7 (+17.3) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 23, 2023 | JXST 101 – 71 CARK |
| Feb 12, 2022 | CARK 72 – 62 JXST |
Game Analysis
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