Betting Lines
| Spread | JXST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | CARK +138 JXST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CARK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JXST +30 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | JXST -1.0 (-29.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (+24.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JXST -1.3 (-28.7) | 144.0 (+28.0) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JXST -3.0 (-27.0) | 144.3 (+27.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JXST -1.2 (-28.8) | 146.1 (+25.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JXST -0.8 (-29.2) | 147.0 (+25.0) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2022 | CARK 72 – 62 JXST |
| Jan 19, 2022 | JXST 86 – 81 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CARK | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#338) | -5.9 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.24 (#286) | -1.05 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#305) | -1.20 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#295) | 0.434 (#304) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CARK | JXST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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