Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MORE +130 MUR -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +4 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -5.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -2.8 (-1.2) | 133.5 (-23.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -2.5 (-1.5) | 134.9 (-24.9) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -3.2 (-0.8) | 131.7 (-21.7) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -2.9 (-1.1) | 132.9 (-22.9) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | MUR 84 – 52 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2022 | MUR 71 – 67 MORE |
| Jan 29, 2022 | MUR 77 – 66 MORE |
| Feb 5, 2021 | MORE 66 – 56 MUR |
| Jan 2, 2021 | MORE 61 – 56 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 31-3 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 18-0 |
| Home | 12-2 | 15-0 |
| Away | 8-8 | 11-1 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.4 | 63.4 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#122) | 11.3 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#85) | 2.82 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#86) | 3.30 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.559 (#72) | 0.610 (#22) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.7% | 16.7% |
Game Analysis
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