Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -2400 MORE +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +32 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -17.7 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (-29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -15.1 (+16.9) | 155.6 (-19.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -14.8 (+17.2) | 152.1 (-16.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -15.5 (+16.5) | 153.0 (-17.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -16.7 (+15.3) | 153.8 (-17.8) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2022 | MUR 71 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MUR 57 – 53 MORE |
| Jan 29, 2022 | MUR 77 – 66 MORE |
| Feb 5, 2021 | MORE 66 – 56 MUR |
| Jan 2, 2021 | MORE 61 – 56 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 12-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.2 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#90) | -6.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#140) | -1.33 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#167) | -2.15 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#210) | 0.449 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 15.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 61.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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