Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -13.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | MUR -1100 MORE +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +5 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | MUR -9.5 (-14.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -5.8 (-10.8) | 129.4 (-12.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -6.8 (-11.8) | 133.0 (-16.0) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -6.5 (-11.5) | 132.7 (-15.7) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -6.4 (-11.4) | 130.4 (-13.4) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | MUR 84 – 52 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2022 | MUR 71 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MUR 57 – 53 MORE |
| Jan 29, 2022 | MUR 77 – 66 MORE |
| Feb 5, 2021 | MORE 66 – 56 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-13 | 23-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 9-4 | 12-1 |
| Away | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#187) | -7.1 (#267) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#226) | -1.88 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#222) | -2.05 (#263) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#245) | 0.412 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 28.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.3% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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