Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | MORE +140 MUR -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +10 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -4.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.3 (-3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.1 (+5.9) | 126.9 (-4.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -5.3 (+4.7) | 131.1 (-9.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -5.4 (+4.6) | 132.9 (-10.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.3 (+4.7) | 131.2 (-9.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | MUR 84 – 52 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2022 | MUR 71 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MUR 57 – 53 MORE |
| Jan 29, 2022 | MUR 77 – 66 MORE |
| Jan 2, 2021 | MORE 61 – 56 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-8 | 13-13 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 12-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.7 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#157) | -0.9 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#128) | -1.32 (#271) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#135) | -1.60 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#106) | 0.416 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 24.2% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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