Betting Lines
| Spread | MUR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MUR +11 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MUR -13.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MUR -10.3 (+0.7) | 136.3 (+6.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MUR -12.7 (-1.7) | 139.3 (+3.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MUR -12.0 (-1.0) | 139.2 (+3.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MUR -12.0 (-1.0) | 136.5 (+6.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | MUR 84 – 52 MORE |
| Mar 6, 2022 | MUR 71 – 67 MORE |
| Feb 12, 2022 | MUR 57 – 53 MORE |
| Feb 5, 2021 | MORE 66 – 56 MUR |
| Jan 2, 2021 | MORE 61 – 56 MUR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MUR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-3 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-0 | 12-2 |
| Away | 11-1 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.4 | 64.4 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#31) | 1.5 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#25) | 1.45 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.19 (#25) | 1.62 (#83) |
| RPI | 0.601 (#34) | 0.559 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MUR | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.3% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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