Taking a bite on a biscuit, the record jumps on a scratch. "If I Didn't Love You" - Squeeze
VyStar Arena · February 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -7.0 Away covered
O/U 139.5 Over
Money KENN -320 / UNF +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual UNF +2 146 Lost
Massey KENN -7.0 (-9.0)
Massey Totals 141.6 (+4.4)
Bradley-Terry 80%
Weighted B-T 80%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -4.5 (-6.5) 146.4 (-0.4) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -4.7 (-6.7) 144.1 (+1.9) 67%
Baseline ML KENN -4.8 (-6.8) 144.9 (+1.1) 66%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -5.6 (-7.6) 143.3 (+2.7) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2024 UNF 8281 KENN
Jan 19, 2024 UNF 8475 KENN
Jan 14, 2023 KENN 8672 UNF
Jan 6, 2023 UNF 8986 KENN
Jan 18, 2022 KENN 6260 UNF

Game Analysis

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