They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
UNF Arena · January 18, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -1.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money UNF +110 / KENN -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNF win
Actual KENN +2 122 Lost
Massey KENN -5.7 (+3.7) — —
Massey Totals — 142.7 (-20.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 25% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -6.0 (+4.0) 138.3 (-16.3) 27% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -5.7 (+3.7) 141.5 (-19.5) 28% ✓
Baseline ML KENN -4.4 (+2.4) 142.3 (-20.3) 27% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KENN -4.6 (+2.6) 141.8 (-19.8) 26% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 17, 2024 UNF 82 – 81 KENN
Jan 19, 2024 UNF 84 – 75 KENN
Jan 14, 2023 KENN 86 – 72 UNF
Jan 6, 2023 UNF 89 – 86 KENN
Feb 12, 2022 UNF 74 – 72 KENN

Game Analysis

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