Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UNF +100 KENN +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +3 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -0.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.8 (+3.8) | 145.4 (+29.6) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -0.5 (+2.5) | 144.0 (+31.0) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -0.6 (+2.4) | 144.6 (+30.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -0.4 (+2.6) | 145.9 (+29.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNF 82 – 81 KENN |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNF 84 – 75 KENN |
| Jan 14, 2023 | KENN 86 – 72 UNF |
| Feb 12, 2022 | UNF 74 – 72 KENN |
| Jan 18, 2022 | KENN 62 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 11-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-14 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#274) | -1.8 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#228) | 0.54 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#238) | 0.12 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#171) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.