Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | UNF +150 KENN -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +9 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -0.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -0.2 (+9.2) | 157.4 (+1.6) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -0.0 (+9.0) | 156.0 (+3.0) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -0.1 (+9.1) | 155.6 (+3.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -1.0 (+8.0) | 157.2 (+1.8) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNF 82 – 81 KENN |
| Jan 14, 2023 | KENN 86 – 72 UNF |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UNF 89 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 12, 2022 | UNF 74 – 72 KENN |
| Jan 18, 2022 | KENN 62 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 6-10 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#280) | -2.1 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#267) | 0.47 (#138) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#262) | 0.44 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#260) | 0.513 (#149) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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