Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money KENN -175 / UNF +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual UNF +1 163 Lost
Massey KENN -3.0 (-4.0) — —
Massey Totals — 168.5 (-5.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 68% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 66% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KENN -3.6 (-4.6) 158.2 (+4.8) 62% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -2.2 (-3.2) 159.1 (+3.9) 62% ✗
Baseline ML KENN -2.3 (-3.3) 159.5 (+3.5) 63% ✗
Baseline Plus ML KENN -2.3 (-3.3) 161.1 (+1.9) 62% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 19, 2024 UNF 84 – 75 KENN
Jan 14, 2023 KENN 86 – 72 UNF
Jan 6, 2023 UNF 89 – 86 KENN
Feb 12, 2022 UNF 74 – 72 KENN
Jan 18, 2022 KENN 62 – 60 UNF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN UNF
Overall 15-16 16-16
Conference 6-10 9-7
Home 9-5 11-5
Away 4-11 5-11
Neutral 2-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 75.6
Avg Pts Against 83.7 77.7
Massey -5.1 (#265) -4.7 (#257)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#230) -0.70 (#247)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#229) -0.65 (#223)
RPI 0.451 (#268) 0.449 (#274)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN UNF
FG% 44.2% 43.8%
3PT% 32.8% 36.1%
REB / G 36.3 31.7
OREB / G 12.0 8.3
AST / TO 1.16 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 53.6%
TOV% 15.7% 16.2%
ORB% 30.4% 24.2%
FT Rate 25.0% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 14.9%
DRB% 67.5% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 31.1% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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