And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · February 17, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -3.5 Away covered
O/U 163.5 Under
Money KENN -175 / UNF +138
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual UNF +1 163 Lost
Massey KENN -3.0 (-4.0)
Massey Totals 168.5 (-5.5)
Bradley-Terry 68%
Weighted B-T 66%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -3.6 (-4.6) 158.2 (+4.8) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -2.2 (-3.2) 159.1 (+3.9) 62%
Baseline ML KENN -2.3 (-3.3) 159.5 (+3.5) 63%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -2.3 (-3.3) 161.1 (+1.9) 62%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 19, 2024 UNF 8475 KENN
Jan 14, 2023 KENN 8672 UNF
Jan 6, 2023 UNF 8986 KENN
Feb 12, 2022 UNF 7472 KENN
Jan 18, 2022 KENN 6260 UNF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN UNF
Overall 15-16 16-16
Conference 6-10 9-7
Home 9-5 11-5
Away 4-11 5-11
Neutral 2-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 2-3
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 81.5 75.6
Avg Pts Against 83.7 77.7
Massey -5.1 (#265) -4.7 (#257)
Bradley-Terry -0.58 (#230) -0.70 (#247)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.70 (#229) -0.65 (#223)
RPI 0.451 (#268) 0.449 (#274)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN UNF
FG% 44.2% 43.8%
3PT% 32.8% 36.1%
REB / G 36.3 31.7
OREB / G 12.0 8.3
AST / TO 1.16 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 53.6%
TOV% 15.7% 16.2%
ORB% 30.4% 24.2%
FT Rate 25.0% 22.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.9% 53.2%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 14.9%
DRB% 67.5% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 31.1% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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