Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -300 UNF +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +14 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -10.7 (+3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -8.2 (+5.8) | 152.7 (+5.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -9.4 (+4.6) | 148.9 (+9.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -9.5 (+4.5) | 150.2 (+7.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -9.6 (+4.4) | 151.7 (+6.3) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | UNF 82 – 81 KENN |
| Jan 19, 2024 | UNF 84 – 75 KENN |
| Jan 6, 2023 | UNF 89 – 86 KENN |
| Feb 12, 2022 | UNF 74 – 72 KENN |
| Jan 18, 2022 | KENN 62 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 10-6 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#179) | -6.9 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#105) | -0.57 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#122) | -1.04 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#99) | 0.491 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.3% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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