Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | CCSU +115 SFBK -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +17 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -0.0 (-17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -0.5 (-17.5) | 135.0 (-18.0) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -1.4 (-15.6) | 133.6 (-16.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.7 (-16.3) | 135.3 (-18.3) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -0.0 (-17.0) | 134.5 (-17.5) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SFBK 53 – 48 CCSU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | CCSU 74 – 52 SFBK |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCSU 67 – 55 SFBK |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CCSU 78 – 59 SFBK |
| Dec 15, 2020 | SFBK 91 – 86 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 5-7 | 3-9 |
| Away | 4-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -13.1 (#341) | -10.0 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#338) | -2.83 (#347) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.94 (#340) | -3.38 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#323) | 0.383 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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