Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | SFBK +115 CCSU -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +5 | 101 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -0.7 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (-26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -0.4 (+4.6) | 132.1 (-31.1) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -0.3 (+4.7) | 129.0 (-28.0) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -0.3 (+5.3) | 131.5 (-30.5) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -0.2 (+4.8) | 132.5 (-31.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2022 | CCSU 74 – 52 SFBK |
| Feb 12, 2022 | SFBK 67 – 50 CCSU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCSU 67 – 55 SFBK |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CCSU 78 – 59 SFBK |
| Dec 15, 2020 | SFBK 91 – 86 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -13.4 (#351) | -9.1 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#328) | -2.40 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#337) | -2.70 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#312) | 0.398 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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