Betting Lines
| O/U | 153.0 Over |
| Money | CCSU +160 SFBK -180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +5 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | CCSU -1.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | CCSU -0.7 (-5.7) | 159.8 (+17.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -0.7 (-5.7) | 158.7 (+18.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.2 (-4.8) | 159.6 (+17.4) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SFBK 53 – 48 CCSU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | CCSU 74 – 52 SFBK |
| Feb 12, 2022 | SFBK 67 – 50 CCSU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCSU 67 – 55 SFBK |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CCSU 78 – 59 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-16 | 9-10 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 3-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#278) | -4.0 (#224) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#243) | -0.28 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#268) | -0.90 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#160) | 0.492 (#157) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 19.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.0% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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