You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Northeast Conference · Pope Physical Education Center · December 31, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread SFBK -6.0 Away covered
O/U 134.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total SFBK win
Actual CCSU +12 122 Lost
Massey SFBK -7.8 (-19.8)
Massey Totals 136.1 (-14.1)
Bradley-Terry 62%
Weighted B-T 58%
Baseline Plus ML SFBK -3.5 (-15.5) 137.4 (-15.4) 64%
Model 4 ML SFBK -4.4 (-16.4) 135.7 (-13.7) 64%
Model 3 ML SFBK -3.8 (-15.8) 135.6 (-13.6) 65%
Baseline ML SFBK -3.6 (-15.6) 134.4 (-12.4) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 2, 2023 SFBK 5348 CCSU
Dec 31, 2022 CCSU 7452 SFBK
Feb 12, 2022 SFBK 6750 CCSU
Dec 16, 2020 CCSU 7859 SFBK
Dec 15, 2020 SFBK 9186 CCSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SFBK CCSU
Overall 10-20 8-24
Conference 7-11 5-13
Home 3-9 5-7
Away 7-9 4-15
Neutral 0-2 0-2
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 65.7 61.8
Avg Pts Against 71.2 72.1
Massey -9.5 (#317) -12.8 (#338)
Bradley-Terry -2.87 (#344) -2.54 (#336)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.81 (#341) -3.24 (#333)
RPI 0.355 (#347) 0.388 (#333)
Shooting & Four Factors SFBK CCSU
FG% 38.7% 40.0%
3PT% 29.3% 33.0%
REB / G 35.3 31.8
OREB / G 12.3 8.5
AST / TO 0.80 0.72
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 46.3%
TOV% 20.2% 19.6%
ORB% 31.5% 23.2%
FT Rate 17.2% 18.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.0% 53.1%
Opp TOV% 20.3% 18.4%
DRB% 70.7% 69.0%
Opp FT Rate 21.4% 23.0%

Game Analysis

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