Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +12 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -7.8 (-19.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -3.8 (-15.8) | 135.6 (-13.6) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -4.4 (-16.4) | 135.7 (-13.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -3.5 (-15.5) | 137.4 (-15.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -3.6 (-15.6) | 134.4 (-12.4) | 63% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SFBK 53 – 48 CCSU |
| Dec 31, 2022 | CCSU 74 – 52 SFBK |
| Feb 12, 2022 | SFBK 67 – 50 CCSU |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CCSU 78 – 59 SFBK |
| Dec 15, 2020 | SFBK 91 – 86 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-9 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -9.5 (#317) | -12.8 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#344) | -2.54 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.81 (#341) | -3.24 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.355 (#347) | 0.388 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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