Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | CCSU -110 SFBK +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +22 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -4.1 (+17.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -1.0 (+21.0) | 131.2 (-5.2) | 54% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCSU -2.4 (+19.6) | 131.3 (-5.3) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -1.2 (+20.8) | 129.6 (-3.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -1.4 (+20.6) | 131.8 (-5.8) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 2, 2023 | SFBK 53 – 48 CCSU |
| Feb 12, 2022 | SFBK 67 – 50 CCSU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | CCSU 67 – 55 SFBK |
| Dec 16, 2020 | CCSU 78 – 59 SFBK |
| Dec 15, 2020 | SFBK 91 – 86 CCSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#333) | -9.4 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.09 (#356) | -1.39 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.65 (#350) | -1.97 (#308) |
| RPI | 0.366 (#356) | 0.464 (#240) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.2% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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