Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
| Money | TENN -700 VAN +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +9 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -13.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -12.5 (-3.5) | 137.4 (-0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -11.6 (-2.6) | 139.7 (-2.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -11.8 (-2.8) | 140.0 (-3.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -11.0 (-2.0) | 140.5 (-3.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 11-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 18.0 (#11) | 7.5 (#78) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#16) | 1.23 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#16) | 1.32 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.631 (#11) | 0.545 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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