Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | VAN +120 TENN -142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -0.4 (+6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -0.1 (+7.1) | 148.9 (-5.9) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -0.7 (+6.3) | 147.0 (-4.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -0.3 (+7.3) | 146.3 (-3.3) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -0.1 (+6.9) | 147.5 (-4.5) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TENN 88 – 53 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 19.7 (#14) | 19.3 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#20) | 2.80 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.18 (#13) | 3.79 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#18) | 0.588 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 44.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.0% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.4% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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