Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -20.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -10000 VAN +1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +35 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -24.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -20.5 (+14.5) | 146.8 (-5.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -17.2 (+17.8) | 144.2 (-3.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -20.4 (+14.6) | 144.4 (-3.4) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -20.9 (+14.1) | 145.3 (-4.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 4-14 |
| Home | 14-2 | 8-10 |
| Away | 8-3 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 18.4 (#9) | -2.2 (#207) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.85 (#5) | -0.53 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.59 (#6) | -0.74 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#6) | 0.466 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.65 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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