Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | VAN +200 TENN -240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +1 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -5.3 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -3.4 (+4.4) | 136.2 (+14.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -3.0 (+4.0) | 135.5 (+15.5) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -3.8 (+4.8) | 138.6 (+12.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -3.6 (+4.6) | 136.5 (+14.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TENN 69 – 65 VAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TENN 88 – 53 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-3 | 16-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 12.9 (#41) | 21.9 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.35 (#36) | 4.69 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#44) | 5.90 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#57) | 0.668 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 40.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 41.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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