Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -155 TENN +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -4.2 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -4.3 (-8.3) | 150.9 (-16.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -4.3 (-8.3) | 149.4 (-15.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -5.1 (-9.1) | 149.5 (-15.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -4.8 (-8.8) | 152.0 (-18.0) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | VAN 75 – 68 TENN |
| Mar 7, 2026 | VAN 86 – 82 TENN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TENN 81 – 76 VAN |
| Jan 18, 2025 | VAN 76 – 75 TENN |
| Feb 17, 2024 | TENN 88 – 53 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.7 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 20.6 (#11) | 19.3 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.18 (#19) | 3.01 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.47 (#13) | 4.02 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#14) | 0.607 (#27) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 43.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 15.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.73 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 45.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.0% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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